Archive for September, 2011

What Is The Best Forex Trading Software?

You may not know what the top forex trading software is if you are a beginner in the Forex trading. This will help you to achieve success in Forex trading if you know about it, since good software can make the difference between being an adequate trader and a great and very successful trader.

This will present an overview of what Forex is and how it can work for you. Forex trading, also called foreign exchange trading, works by trading currency pairs. Basically, you are predicting that one country’s currency within your pair is going to do better than the other currency in the pair your trading. You make trades based upon these predictions, and make or lose money based upon how things actually work out.

Even the best Forex trading software can’t work for you until you know how the market actually works, but it can streamline the process for you once you do. Learn your way around the Forex market by opening up a “demo” account with one of the Forex traders online and practicing. While you practice, you can also begin to use Forex trading software so that you learn how to use it so that you can make trades to your best advantage. You should know that you should never trade with real money until you know the market very well and have learned how to use your Forex trading software expertly, too.

What the best Forex trading software can do for you

The best Forex trading software cannot “take over” your trades for you completely, even though some sites may tell you that you don’t need to know anything about Forex and can still make money as long as you use their software. In fact, you’re going to use your Forex trading software to make your trades for you automatically, based upon criteria you give it. That is the main key right there – the criteria you give it, and that is where your understanding of the Forex market comes in, so that you understand exactly what criteria to give the Forex software to maximize your profits and minimize your losses.

What your Forex trading software can do for you is to keep up with the Forex market, which moves very fast and in real-time. There is a lot of data to be analyzed and considered, much more than you can analyze manually. The best Forex trading software will receive this information as quickly as it comes in, and make your trades for you based upon the criteria you’ve given it so that you have your best success.

What should your Forex trading software be able to do?

Your Forex trading software should be able to provide you what are called “trading signals.” These trading signals are basically indications provided to you by a third party that recommend whether you should buy or sell. Therefore, your best Forex trading software is going to have this particular function built into it as part of the service.

A second thing your Forex trading software should be able to do is to allow you to place what are called “stop loss” orders. These are automated orders whereby your currency will be sold if it falls below a certain value that you have specified. This is important, because it keeps you from “losing your shirt” on a trade that is losing money. By defining your stop loss at specific values, you accomplish two things. First, doing so ensures that you don’t have to be there in order to have the stop loss order implemented. You simply place it and it is implemented at the appropriate time, automatically, unless you cancel it. It helps keep you from experiencing additional loss.

The second thing placing a stop loss order does is that it negates any psychological factors that may actually help cause extreme losses. Let’s say you’re losing on a trade and you’ve placed a stop loss order so that the currency is sold once it drops to two dollars. By doing this, you prevent yourself from risking further loss by saying, “Well, maybe this currency will gain in value once again, so I’m going to stay in on the trade and see what happens.” In effect, you are giving yourself an automatic “out” and taking yourself out of the process once that loss has occurred.

Remember that even the best Forex trading software can’t do everything. Forex trading software is meant to be a tool to help streamline the Forex trading process for you so that it is automated to some extent. However, you still must have a good solid working knowledge of the Forex system and how it works in order to be able to use your Forex trading software effectively. It’s a bit like learning how to drive a car. Improvements in cars these days like power steering, power brakes, and airbags make driving safer and much easier than ever before. However, you still must be able to steer the car effectively, to accelerate and brake as necessary, in order to be a safe driver. In other words, the car is a vehicle you control, and you can’t simply sit back and let it do the work for you.

The same is true of even the best Forex trading software. It can streamline the process for you and make it much easier and more automatic, but you still have to be in control. This is why it’s imperative to know the Forex market very well before you try to trade with real money. In addition, having a thorough knowledge of the Forex market will tell you which software is best for you.

 

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Venkat Siddhu is forex trader and trading since 1999.

Base Your Trade Size on the Risk

It’s a common axiom of investing that the greater the risk the greater the reward. One method of sizing short-term trades based on this principle is . The idea behind the fixed fractional method is that you base the number of contracts or shares on the risk of the trade. Fixed fractional position sizing is also known as fixed risk position sizing because it risks the same percentage or fraction of account equity on each trade. For example, you might risk 2% of your account equity on each trade (the ). Fixed fractional position sizing has been written about extensively by Ralph Vince. See, for example, his book “Portfolio Management Formulas,” John Wiley & Sons, New York, 1990.

The risk of a trade is defined as the dollar amount that the trade would lose per contract or share if it were a loss. Commonly, the trade risk is taken as the size of the money management stop applied, if any, to each trade. If your trading strategy doesn’t use protective (money management) stops, the risk can be taken as the largest historical loss. This was the approach Vince adopted in his book Portfolio Management Formulas.

The equation for the number of contracts or shares in fixed fractional position sizing is as follows:

N = f * Equity/| Trade Risk |

where N is the number of contracts or shares, f is the fixed fraction (a number between 0 and 1), Equity is the current value of account equity (i.e., the value of account equity just prior to the trade for which you’re calculating N), and Trade Risk is the risk of the trade per contract or share for which the number of contracts or shares is being computed. The vertical bars (|) mean that we take the absolute value of the trade risk (risk is usually given as a negative number, so we make it positive).

In fixed fractional position sizing, the number of contracts or shares per trade increases over time as profits accumulate, which allows the trader to more fully utilize the available account equity. Likewise, the number of contracts or shares per trade drops when account equity declines after a series of losses, reducing the impact of subsequent losses.

Fixed risk position sizing can be used to implement another one of Vince’s methods, called position sizing. This is a generalized version of a classic formula called , which provides the fixed fraction that maximizes the geometric growth rate for a series of trades where all the losses are one size and all the wins are another size. In this case, the optimal fixed fraction is given by the following equation (Kelly’s formula, as provided by Vince, Portfolio Management Formulas, John Wiley & Sons, New York, 1990):

f = ((B + 1) * P – 1)/B

where B is the ratio of a winning trade to a losing trade, and P is the percentage of winning trades.

Optimal f position sizing extends the Kelly formula so that the wins and losses can all be different sizes. Optimal f calculates the fixed fraction that maximizes the rate of return for a given series of trades. While this sounds like a good idea, in practice the optimal f value (or the f value from the Kelly formula) often results in drawdowns that are too large for most traders to tolerate.

Also, relying on the historical sequence of trades is risky in that the sequence of profits and losses in the future may be less favorable than what was encountered historically. As a result, the drawdowns in the future could be much larger thanpredicted by the historical sequence of trades. Performing a Monte Carlo analysis on the trade sequence is one way to generate a more conservative estimate of the future worst-case drawdown.

A less risky alternative to optimal f is to optimize using Monte Carlo analysis and with a specified limit on the maximum allowable drawdown. This will generally yield a much smaller and therefore less risky fixed fraction than optimal f.

Michael Bryant has a PhD degree in mechanical engineering with a minor in computer science and has been trading and studying the financial markets since 1994. To learn more about how to apply advanced position sizing and money management techniques to your trading, please visit Adaptrade Software (http://www.adaptrade.com/MSA/).

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“Learn to Trade Stocks & Make Money ”

Please note that this video is for training purposes and any dates are therefore not applicable or current

www.BullStock.infoBull Stock Info presents a video tutorial on Bullish Candlestick signals and chart patterns. Visit our Web site for a free list of Bullish Candlestick chart patterns that look promising for the next trading day. Follow us on Twitter at http
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What are the trading mistakes that, when made repeatedly, affect profitability from futures trading? According to one Emini futures trading guru there are seven which are repeated below.

1.Trying to pick tops or bottoms,
2.My gut says we’re going to break out ,
3.No confirmation from my Volume indicators ,
4.Hesitating on entry,
5.Canceling my stop (the worst one of them all),
6.Moving my profit target (got to let the winners run), and
7.Letting a profitable trade turn into a loser (a rarity).

By using a trade log of your trades, the trading mistakes will begin to show up allowing for corrections. The more detailed your trade log, the more information is gained from each trade. While for some it is helpful to include more than raw data, like things to remember, how you felt about the trade, and any information which will aid your future investing, for others it is too much information and becomes counterintuitive.

It’s best to keep it simple, record only the data necessary to evaluate the information against the above seven mistakes not to make. The result should be fewer and fewer mistakes as your trading goes on. It’s easiest to keep a trade log in a spreadsheet, with one line per day. By including formulas in your spreadsheet it will automatically calculate the running total of trading profit and performance.

Trade log instructions:

1. Starting Assumptions: Include starting date, Emini point value and actual brokerage costs in the first section.  Choose your trading goal for the year and fill in your starting account balance and level at which you’ll add contracts. Finally decide daily targets for points made and number of trades needed to achieve it.

2.  Inputs of Daily Performance:  Every day go to the Trade Log tab and input your daily performance including  points made, number of trades and number of contracts. The formula in the spreadsheet automatically calculates your daily profit.

3. Inputs of Mistakes: After trade performance statistics are in, assess every trade against the mistakes listed above, or any of your own mistakes. The spreadsheet automatically calculates your running split.

4. Performance against Target Chart: The trade log spreadsheet includes a simple chart of running performance against annual budget.

It’s generally better to have a modest target and reach it each day than to have high aspirations that are never met. The trade log helps to keep you focused.

Want to know more? Click here for Free information on downloading Trade Log to identify mistakes. No nonsense trading guides from www.Emini-Watch.com.

Futures Trading Guide – Making Excellent Trades

Article by Jeff Daniels

Futures trading is a more complex category of the trading industry. This is not that far different from options trading as it too deals with the sale and purchase of contracts and bonds. This is more perceived to be a more long term version of an investment as this is more focused on the probable profit margin of the fiscal market’s movements on the entity of which an individual has invested in.

A good Futures Trading Guide will be able to get an individual who is only in the beginning stages of consideration on engaging or venturing on to this aspect of the trading industry. One will be first introduced and acquainted with the various terminologies as well as the process, methods and the system on which this trade strives on. This is where one will be familiarized with the different jargons of which will pertain to different aspects of the trade such as the “credit risk”, “futures position” long position”, “obligation”, “delivery” and “settlement”.

The main idea in futures trading is to be able to keep a firm hold on the stock options or the bonds and contracts for extended periods of time. An investor will then have to carefully study the trends and analyze all the available data while cautiously observing the movements and values in the fiscal market. This is the key facto in running a successful trade as one will have to have a fairly accurate prediction of how well an entity will stand on its profitability in a given period of time. At which point one may then opt to give their bonds for sale or on the other end, to determine which options or contracts they may purchase which will most likely get them a good profit at the end.

A contract of which both parties of the buyer and seller will need to undertake will also be explained in a Futures Trading Guide. This will determine the terms of which both parties would agree upon. This will include the amount of bonds or options or the specifics of the contract open for the trade as well as those of other vital details such as the contract price, the delivery date of the turn over of the bonds or contracts as well as the settlement details of the obligations on the end of the buyer. The contracts of which the buyer and the seller agrees upon will be held and considered as binding. This means that both parties will need to complete their obligations, what ever they may be. This is the only general difference of futures trading as opposed to options trading where both parties are not bound on actually delivering their agreement or initial decision. They may opt at any point in time to withdraw or to sell or buy to or from someone else.

As this category in the trading industry is more binding than others, it also offers more risks to the investment. This goes both ways to a buyer or a seller; as previously stated, these trades rely highly on future predictions and profit margins regardless of the current conditions or situations in the fiscal market.

For more information about Futures Trading Guide, please visit: http://www.yourtradingzone.com/futures-trading

How To Trade In Futures For Newbies?

Article by Amuro Wesley

While it is true that some people are making a lot of money from futures, it is also true that others lost a substantial amount. As with any investments, trading in futures involves risks and if you are not careful but just trade blindly, you can lose all your money just as easily as earning it. This is also precisely why most people prefer to stay away from futures. They rather choose to safeguard their money than losing it.

According to experienced traders and brokers, you do not have to think like them. Instead what you should do is to do research on what you intend to trade before actually trading. While futures earn millions for first 10 people, it may not work the same for the next 10 people. It all boils down to knowing what you want to trade and having countermeasures in place in order to succeed with maximum profits and minimum losses.

Futures are contracts that gives the investor the right to buy stock for a specific price and sell it within a certain time frame. By doing these to generate cash and assume risks should the market fluctuates, the investor is now solely responsible for his own success and failure in trading.

Unlike stocks, futures also give the investor flexibility to trade whether the market is up or down. The investor usually buys the contract and sells it if he expects the market to go up. If the market goes down, he will enter the trade through selling the contract first and then buying another one as ways to exit.

In this way, he will profit irregardless of the market trends since he has filled up all the possible loopholes using this strategy. The only time he will be concerned is when the market stops moving momentarily which rarely happens.

That is why futures are slightly more optimistic than stocks even though they too have a certain amount of risk. So even though when you are not experienced but have been trained by a top proven mentor in this niche and done all your necessary homework in research, you can still do very well in the long run. Once you are familiar with the market trends and make your move at the right moment, you can still do very well in trading futures.

Making money from futures can be fairly easy once you know what to do and what not to do. There are people making tens of thousands within days and there are also people losing tens of thousands within days. It all depends on how you see it and whether you are going to take the action steps the first time you started trading.

However if you are on a tight budget or your job salary only limits you to daily expenses, it is advisable not to trade in futures. You will only lose more than what you already have. You will be better off investing in other things like insurance, savings plans or unit trusts. So unless you have additional funds on top of what you will be using for bills and daily expenses, future tradings is not for you. However discouraging I may sound, it is better to be cautious than be sorry when you raise your hopes only to lose everything in the end.

Amuro Wesley has been involved in internet marketing since 2008.

Find out more on investments in his latest eguide here.